The Bank of Botswana maintained its benchmark rate at 3.5% in its first policy meeting under Governor Lesego Moseki, citing economic activity below capacity and inflation within the 3–6% target range. Inflation rose to 3.9% year-on-year in October from 3.7% in September; the bank forecasts 2.7% average in 2025 and 5.3% in 2026.
Real GDP contracted 5.3% year-on-year in Q2 2025 after a 0.4% decline in Q2 2024, driven by a diamond sector downturn as global demand weakened. The October 160-basis-point hike addressed a liquidity squeeze from elevated market lending rates linked to the slowdown. The stance aims to support growth while keeping inflation within the 3–6% target range.